Trump’s “Liberation Day” may be the first step in America’s exit from its role as the world’s economic anchor and trusted trade ally. That’s according to Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney, who didn’t hold back in a press conference shortly after reciprocal tariffs on U.S. autos were announced.
“The system of global trade anchored on the United States … is over,” Carney said during the recent announcement. “The 80-year period when the United States embraced the mantle of global economic leadership … is over. While this is a tragedy, it is also the new reality.”
As the former head of both the Bank of Canada and the Bank of England, and an Oxford-Harvard trained economist, Carney certainly has the experience needed to help Canada navigate this new reality. But his stern warning is rippling far beyond Canadian borders.
According to the BBC, world leaders, including EU Commission Chief Ursula von der Leyen and Japan’s Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba, say the ongoing trade war will have “dire” consequences for millions of people across the world and undermine the global trading system.
Here’s why the chorus of concern continues to expand and how you can prepare for what’s to come.
The U.S. isn’t just the largest economy in the world, it’s also the largest consumer of goods and services.
In 2023 alone, the U.S. imported goods worth $3.17 trillion in aggregate, according to Visual Capitalist’s coverage of World Trade Organization data. China, the second-largest economy in the world, is a net exporter, according to the Financial Times.
As a result, the global economy heavily relies on American consumption, and any trade barriers, such as tariffs or embargoes, could have severe consequences for nearly every country.
This is why Carney is warning that the Trump tariff policy could “rupture the global economy.”
There are plenty of signals validating this thesis. Global stock markets have shed $9.5 trillion in total value since early April, according to The Street, while JPMorgan’s probability forecast for a U.S. recession this year sits at 60%.