Over 30 million US homes don’t have a mortgage, report says — why that’s a red flag for the housing market


A couple outside of their home.
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Housing affordability has become a pressing issue in America — with studies suggesting that buyers now need a six-figure salary to comfortably cover the mortgage on a typical home. Yet millions of Americans already own their homes outright.

According to Fortune, citing a recently published Goldman Sachs note, the share of U.S. homeowners without a mortgage rose from 33% in 2010 to 40% in 2023. Assuming there are 86 million homes nationwide, the outlet estimates more than 30 million are now owned free and clear.

As more Americans pay off their homes, equity continues to build. ICE Mortgage Technology estimated that heading into the second quarter of 2025 U.S. mortgage borrowers held $11.5 trillion in “tappable” home equity — or equity available for borrowing while maintaining at least a 20% cushion.

While it’s possible to access that equity through loans or lines of credit, Goldman Sachs notes that homeowners today are far less eager to tap into it than they were in the early 2000s.

“Rather, borrowers have focused on paying down their mortgages and owning their homes outright,” said Goldman Sachs analyst Arun Manohar, per Fortune.

A major driver of this growing equity is the sharp increase in home values. Over the past five years, the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price NSA Index has climbed more than 50%.

That may be good news for existing homeowners — but for first-time buyers, the picture is far more challenging, especially with mortgage rates still elevated.

According to the National Association of Realtors, the share of first-time home buyers in the U.S. fell to just 24% in 2024 — a record low — down from 32% a year prior.

Fortune called the situation both “a warning sign” and a “chicken-and-egg” dilemma — noting that many older homeowners who bought their properties decades ago aren’t downsizing, largely due to fears of today’s higher mortgage rates. With that inventory staying off the market, supply remains tight and prices stay elevated — making it even harder for younger generations to break into homeownership.

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